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The
Importance of Comparison
Comparative politics is central to tlie development of political theory.
For most sciences, experimentation is llic way to lest theory, but for political
science, comparison is tlie principal method. Political science can be an
experimental science only rarely, and then almost always in highly contrived
circumstances. Researchers are sometimes able to have students or oilier
more or less willing subjects participate in games or experiments, but those
exercises tend to be far removed from most real questions about governing.
Therefore, comparing what happens when different countries, for their own
reasons, modify constitutions, or party systems, or whatever, provides useful
information about the probable consequences ofdinerent political orders.
The real world of governing and politics is too important to permit social
scientists to manipulate an institution here and a law there just to sec
what might happen. It may sometimes appear to the population;, of sonic
poor countries that wealthier governments and international organisations
are indeed experimenting with their political lives, as one reform after
another is imposed on them from abroad. For example, international organisations
are requiring many less developed countries to implement a variety of reforms
such as privatisation as conditions of receiving aasi.sl.in e-e. Those reforms
arc, however, almost always based on an implicit, if not explicit, (-ompar.ilive
analysis of gm'tTiiiiient, iind (lie institutions being advocated appear
10 the foreign government or intrrnational orga-ni-salion advot-aling change
to be associated with more .successful governance in their own or in -similar
governnieiilfi.
There is some- question
of whether political science would want to be a more experimental scieiuie,
even were it possible- When a scientist condiit-ls .an experiment the
purpose is lo hold as m;>ny factors as possible constant, ill order
to permit a single independent variable to opcralc upon a single dependent
variable. Unfortunately (or foi-tuna(ely). tlir real world or politics
is not [hat sterile and controlled, ;ind tlierc are a liost of seemingly
extraneous faclors tliat inlluence tlie w;iy people vote, or policies
arc made, or interest groups lobby. Thus. ;iny great mvcslmem in experimentation
might rob tlie discipline of much of its descriptive richness and attention
to complexity, which ;ti-c important for understanding what makes politics
in France so dillereni from politics in its neighbour Italy, much less
politics in Nigeria. A great deal of political life involves (lie interaction
of numerous forces, so that any artificial isolation of the causal factor
would almost certainly be misleading as well as less interesting.
Real countries present both problem.1; and benefits for comparative politics.
The benelits are obvious. Within those real countries occur the real,
complex and convoluted sequences of events that arc of so much interest
to the student of tlie subject. On tlie other hand, tlie complexity of
real political life ine;ins (hat variables come to tlie researcher in
large bundles of factors that arc almost inextricably intertwined. It
is then up to the researcher to disentangle the sources of variance, to
coniexlualise the findings, and to provide as useful a 'story' about politics
as lie or she can.
If the claims of political science to be an empirical method are based
largely on comparative analysis, so too is a good deal of the substance
of normative political theory based implicitly on comparison. Normative
polifical theory is directed at identifying and producing 'the good life'
in tlie public sphere, and to some extent arguments about tlie desirability
ofdinercnt forms of government are based on the comparative observations
of llic propounders of those theories. Certainly, not all normative political
theory is ili;it instrumental in its advocacy of particular solutions
to (lie problem of government, but much of tlie analysis lias been. Thomas
Hobbes had observed that the absence of effective government - his 'state
of nature' - during the period of the English Civil War produced less
desirable social outcomes than might occur under more effective government-
r'rom tlial observation, lie extrapolaied to argue lor sirong government,
even ;it the possible expense of some civil liberties. Even when there
are no real-world observations of a pariicular version of 'the good life',
normative analysts often engage Jn mental experiments based upon
their generalised empirical knowledge of politics, drawn largely from
informal comparative analysis. This comparison could be conducted across
time as well as across countries.
The real world of comparative government is therefore (lie laboratory
(or political scientists lo delerininc what works and what docs not, as
well as to demonstrate important theoretical relationships among variables.
It is a laboratory in which the 'experiments1 are designed by other people
- politicians, civil servants, interest group leaders - for their own
purposes and not for those of social scientists. Therefore, tlie difficult
but yet crucial task for the comparative analyst is to devise the methods
necessary to construct meaningful theoretical and analytic statements
about government and politics within those complex and largely unplanncd
settings. We must develop (lie methodologies for entering into tlie real
world ol politics in a number of different settings, and extracting meaningful
information. That information needs to be descriptively accurate, but
it also need to be more than that. Those statements must also link observations
made in one political system with similar observations made in another,
or link the observations in one system witli general propositions about
politics. For a researcher to be able to sav what happens in a single
country may be interesting, but it is generally insufficient to mean that
he or she is really engaged in tlie study of comparative politics.
Studying the single country can however be argued to be comparative analysis
if it is guided by implicit comparison with other systems, or if the research
has a strong connection to theories based on comparison (Verba, 1967).
Indeed, carefully selected and craftcd studies of individual countries
can lie crucial for testing theory (see Key Text 5.1). One country may
he tlic crucial case for testing a hypothesis - iftlic proposition works
llicrc then il will work anywhere - so that the case-studv is the most
cfiicicnt means of addressing tlie theoretical proposition. For example,
elite llicory and elite pacts have become important means of explaining
tile success ofdemocralisation in transitional regimes (Burton and Higley.
1987; Higlcy and Gunthcr, 1992; Zhang, 1994; Hagopian, 1990). These pacts
involve members of tlic contending political factions reaching agreements
to govern peacefully, even in llic face of intense disagreements between
them, not only on policies but also on llie structure of government itself.
II elite pacts were found to function lo manage a deeply divided society,
for example, in Lebanon, then they might be expected to have the potential
to work almost anywhere. Lebanon was discussed
as an example of conflict management through consociationalism prior to
(lie outbreak of the Civil War. It now remains to be seen if other means
of conflict management can work.
The virtue of comparative analysis, especially when the analysis is limned
to a single case or a few cases, is that it forces greater specificity
on (lie researcher. What are the factors in a country tlial produce certain
observed patterns of behaviour? If tlie study is conducted outside a comparative
framework, i[ is easy for [he rcsearclier to make a number of assumptions
about the exceplionalism of tlie case- In a more comparative mode of analysis,
tlie similarities as well as the differences become evident, and the researcher
must think more clearly about the root causes of the performance of the
system. Comparative analysis can also he useful even when one is thinking
about political behaviour within one's own country. What is it that makes
British or American politics different from those of other countries,
and what evidence would a researcher need to muster in order to substantiate
tlial argument about the differences? What are the 'shadow cases' that
would be most useful when making judgments about British politics? Are
they the Commonwealth countries, the USA, or tlie countries of continental
Europe?
We do not need to apologise at all for the contributions of comparative
politics, despite the obvious disability of moving the study forward and
of making it even more useful for analysts and perliaps indeed for practitioners
in (lie 'real world'. This body of research has been able to cope with
immense changes in the surrounding political world - decolonisation and
political development, the development of regional bodies such as the
European Union, democratisation in Latin America, Southern Europe, and
Central and Eastern Europe, and the emergence of die 'little tigers' in
Asia - and lias something important to say about these changes. There
lias also been tlie gradual accretion of a rich -store of knowledge about
individual political systems, wliicli can serve not only as grist for
theoretical exercises but also simply for a better understanding of those
systems. Finally, there have been interesting and important theoretical
developments. Tliese developments have not been uncon-trovcrsial, but
again, they have added to the store of weapons at the disposal of those
political scientists who go into the field attempting to understand politics
and political behaviour in a comparative manner.
In (his book, tlie concentration on the development o! theory is in contrast
to the roots of comparative political analysis, which lie more in llie
description of formal, legal institutions and in prescribing
governmental structure
based on ideas of democracy and 'good government'. This theoretical development
in the discipline has been praised by some, especially those who fought
so hard to break the domination of formalism (Eckstein, 1963). It lias
also been condemned by more traditional scholars (Maclntvre, 1978), who
argue that (lie differences among countries are so subtle, and so ingrained
in cultural and historical factors, that they arc not subject to 'scientific'
analysis; however, while attempting to be sensitive to the difficulties
of comparison and to the subtleties of national differences, we will nevertheless
operate within the more scientific paradigm.
Forms of Comparative Analysis
The task of understanding politics comparatively is made all tlie more
difficult by the number of the different forms of analysis that are commonly
labelled 'comparative polities' in textbooks and in political science
curricula. On the one hand, there are studies ol'an individual country
(other than that of the autlior and the intended audience) that are labelled
'comparative'. At [lie other end ofllie spectrum are studies in wliich
individual countries are submerged in a multitude of other countries,
and become 'data points' in a statistical analysis much more than they
are vital political entities. Both types of studies have their appropriate
place in the discipline, despite efforts by scholars from tlie other camp
to weed them out, and both can claim to make important contributions to
the study of comparative politics. The problem lies in attempting to understand
both methods of analysis within that single rubric of'comparative', and
to understand the contributions each type can make.
Despite their apparent dissimilarity, all these approaclies to comparative
politics must confront a fundamental trade-olf between llie respective
virtues of complexity and generalisation. That is, the more an approach
(the case method for example) takes into account the context and the complexities
of any one political system, or a limited range of systems, the less capable
llial rcscarcli strategy will be of producing generalisations about politics.
Similarly, the more an approach fsucli a.s statistical modelling) attempts
to furnish generalisations and to le.st broad theories about politics,
the less nuance about panicLihir political systems it is able to permit
in its analysis.
This trade-oil'is inherent to llie research process of comparative politics,
and (o some exicnl to oilier component parts ol' tlie social
sciences, and (lie researcher must make decisions about where along that
undei 'lying continuum ofspccificily to pl;icc a particular piece or research.
Dogan and Massy (1984; 127) note that 'at times conipar-ativists will
emphasise similarilies, al linies differences. They will tend to look
for differences in contexts that arc roughly similar, or ... will try
lu find analogies in contrasting political systems.' Research also can
be strengthened by the interaction of the two styles ofcompar-ison, altliougli
that makes dillicultics for any individual scholar.
Another way to think about these fundamental trade-ofis in comparative
analysis is to contrast conligurativc and statistical methods of analysis
(sec Lijpliarl, 1971). In the configuralive approach. llic primary purpose
is the thorough description of a case or cases, so lhat the consumer of
the research will be capable of comprehending the logic of political life
in that limited number of settings. Tlial understanding of the case will
be, however, rather deep, or 'thick', and would include a number of aspects
of social and political life found in those systems. The anthropologist
Clifford Geertz (1973) used the phrase 'thick description' to describe
interpretative work in his discipline. By this, lie meant using detailed
description as the precursor of interpretation and theory development
in the social sciences. The descriptions generated in a configurative
analysis tend to range across institutional and micro-political 'variables',
rather than just on the specifics of a case. That description would also
involve an understanding of the social, cultural and economic context
of politics. Tills is the kind of comparative analysis associated with
the scholar who devotes his or tier career to the study of one or a few
countries, but feels verv much at home in tlie culture and politics of
lliat limited sample of countries. The understanding developed through
tlic extended analysis of llie single case becomes almost intuitive, so
lhat conveying it to others may become verv dinicult. One of the standard
descriptions of science is thai its findings and methods must be 'intersubjectivcly
transmissible'. If the findings are excessively intuitive, they do not
necessarily contribute to political science.
One of the more interesting, and confounding, features of comparative
analysis from the conliguralivc perspective is that researchers from dinerent
Countries may apply (heir own particular national lens to ihe same dala.
This i.s true not only in terms of the selection and treatment of the
cases, but also in (lie implicit comparison with the home country Isee
U'iarda, 1981}. Tocqucville'?; (1946) magisterial study of politics in
llie United States was written very much vvim
the French society and French politics of his lime in mind. The strong
position of American political science in the Held of comparative politics
has meant lhat a large proportion of single country studies use (lie United
States as the implicit if not explicit comparison. Edward Page (1990),
liowcvcr, lias documented a British tradition in comparative politics
lliat tends to be less theory-conscious and less quantitative than American
configurative studies. Given lliat the individual scholar is ttie principal
rcscarcli 'instrument' in tilis type of study, there may be a great deal
of extraneous and error variance added to these studies (see Key Text
9.1), and the -study may be comprehensible only in the national context
within wliicli it was written.
Slalistical explanation has a fundamentally din'erciH purpose. It attempts
to test propositions about tlic relationship among political variables
across countries and in a variety of settings. To some extent, the characteristics
of these settings otiicr than those explicitly included in the model arc
assumed to be irrelevant, so long as they do not confound measurement
oflhe variables in which tlic rcscarclier is interested, or introduce
oilier forms of extraneous and error variance (see below, pp. 30-2). Further,
statistical explanations tend to leave unmeasured a number of factors
that might be central to the more descriptive and convoluted explanations
provided through config-uralive analysis. To the extent that cultural
factors arc a part of the statistical explanation, they tend to be included
only as residual explanations, and to appear only when alt oilier measured
factors prove inadequate to explain tlic dependent variable in question.
In fairness, llic-re have been some attempts to measure cultural factors
more explicitly, and lo include them in tlic statistical models. For example,
llie wealth of data coming from llie World Value Study is used increasingly
to botli describe national political cultures and to attempt to explain
oilier political phenomena (Inglehart, 1997;
Kaasc and Newton, 1995).
At tlie extreme, sialislicat analysis ceases to identify countries as
countries, hut instead conceptualises them as packages of variables. Two
major students of comparative politics, for example, argued lliat llie
ultimate purpo.se of tlie comparative exercise should be to eliininale
proper names of countries and to think primarily in terms of concepts
and variables IPr/.eworski and Tcune, 1970: 30). 'lliat view i.s probably
too exirrme lor inosi .students of comparative politics, even those inleresled
in (|ii;intit;ilivc analysis- Tlie variable-driven perspective on comparison
does, however, point to tlic need to
direct some scholarly attention away from the specifics of thick
description of individual countries into the development and testing of
hypotheses that arc meaningful cross-nationally. As we will point out
below (pp. 139-54), however, more formalised comparative analysis need
not, and should not, abandon totally the traditional concern with real
cases and real countries, nor need it be entirely
quantitative in order to be able to 'lest' hypotheses.
i
Quantity and Quality
Although the familiar con figurative, case-study approach to comparative
politics and the statistical approach to the same phenomena may appear
extremely different, the fundamental logic of research comparison that
undergirds them is actually very similar. As King et ai. (1994; sec also
Kriizer, 1996) have pointed out very forcefully, any meaningful differences
between quantitative and qualitative research are almost always exaggerated
by the advocates of both styles of enquiry. Conducting either style of
social research properly depends upon the same issues of research design,
each is prey to the same potential errors, and each requires interpretation
that goes beyond their available data. In particular, both types of research
lace the task ol developing research designs that maximise the observed
variance in their dependent variables that is a function of the presumed
independent variable or variables. Further, the research design - whether
quantitative or qualitative - also must minimise error variance, or the
observed variance resulting from random sources such as measurement error
and unreliabititv.
As well as error variance, dealing with extraneous variance is a crucial
problem lor research design. Qualitative researchers often do not think
in terms such as independent and dependent variables, but their research
problems can certainly be expressed in that m;mner. A scholar using the
case-study method must be sure thai [lie causes to which he or she is
attributing the observed outcomes are indeed the 'true causes', and not
;i function of other factors that might as easily produce [he observed
outcomes. While statistical research can cope with the problem of other
pos.sil.ile causes by introducing control variables to identify and quantify
the confounding causes, qualitative research musi deal with tin- confounding
factors through careful research design, greater allcinion lo ihc proper
selection of cases, and fairness to all causes when doing the research.
Of course, iflhe statistical researcher does not identify, via theory
or personal insight,
(lie appropriate control variables then the analysis will be no more effective
in sorting out confused causality than will the qualitative analysis.
There is a fundamental dilemma here for the researcher. He or slic needs
a theory to guide the research if it is to be truly comparative, but that
theory may colour the research. We all have a tendency to sec what we
want to sec, or what we set out to find.
The argument dial quantitative and qualitative research are more similar
than dissimilar is not uncontroversiat. Advocates of both styles of enquiry
argue for (lie superiority of their own method. In addition, scholars
who have no particular methodological axe to grind raise some doubts about
the similarity of the methods in practice. For example, Ronald Rugowski
(1995) argues that die admonitions of King el al. (1994) noi to select
cases on values of the dependent variable (see below, pp. 36(1') are apt
for statistical analysis, but would make much case-research less useful
than it is. The strength of much case-analysis is that it samples {sic)
purposefully on the dependent variable to be able to test theory in [lie
most diuicult setting- Likewise, Collier (1995) expresses some doubts
about the assumed goal of generalisation implied by the wedding of the
methodological traditions.
Although Rogowski and Collier do raise some questions about the similarity
of quantitative and qualitative analysis as presented by King el al.,
they are si-ill working in ilie same positivist, empirical tradition of
analysis. There arc other scholars who would argue tliat qualitative,
interpretative analysis is the only real way to consider comparison (Maclntyre,
1978). For these scholars, all this discussion of variance would be irrelevant;
what is important is individual interpretation of political events. This
volume obviously takes a more posilivisi position, and argues thai we
really need to remove, as much as possible, the individual and his or
her idiosyncracies from the research if we want to be able to make statements
about politics that are more general, more usable, and testable.
Types of Comparative Studies
The study of comparative politics is an extremely diverse intellectual
enterprise. This diversity is both ;i strength and a weakness of comparison
On the one liand, Wiarda (1986: 5) argues that the field is so diverse
thai it can scarcely be called a field at all. On the oilier liand, Verba
(1986: 3G) argues ih;it the heterogeneity of the field will
continue, and th;it this
diversity is a source of strength rather than of weakness. Vcrba argues
that the openness o(' (lie ticid to various theories and methodologies
helps to maintain its vitality and its capacity to cope with a rapidly
changing political world. Any premature closure of content or method might
therefore, it is argued, inhibit intellectual progress.
At least five types of studies are classified as being components of comparative
politics. We can question whether some of these studies arc truly 'comparative',
given (ha( they cither focus on a single country other than that of the
scholar doing the study or that they arc so general tlial individual countries
get lost- All five types of research do, however, find themselves treated
as part of comparative politics within the discipline. Tlieac live tvpcs
arc:
(1) Single country descriptions of politics in X, whatever X may be (examples
.ire Anderson, 1983; Fitzmaurice, 1981; Rose, 1989;
Lal, 1986; Ramage, 1995);
(2) Analyses of similar processes and institutions in a limited number
of countries, selected (one expects) for analytic reasons (Bendix, 1964;
Moore, 1966; Skocpol, 1979; Lipset and Rokkan, 1967; Tilly, 1975; 1993;
Collier and Collier, 1991);
(3) Studies developing typologies or other forms of classification schemes
for countries or subnalional units, using llie typologies both to compare
groups of countries and to reveal something about the internal politics
of each political system (Lijphart, 1990; Efazar, 1987; Bcbler and Scroka,
1990);
(4) Statistical or descriptive analyses of data from a subset of llie
world's countries, usually selected on geographical or devclop-mcnial
grounds, testing sonic hypoihe.sis about the relationship of variables
within lhal 'sample' of countries (Lange and Garrett, 1985; Amcs, 19K7;
Kaasc and Nevvion, 1995; Hyden and Brattou. 1992); and
(5) Statistic;!! analyses o( all countries of llie world attempting to
develop paiicms and/or le-sl relationships across the entire range of
political systems (Banks and Tcxtor, 1963; Banks, 1971: Rumrnet, t972;
1979: Russell, 19(34; Sullivan, 1996].
Although tliese arc very didcrrnt (ypes of research exercises, requiring
a variety ofdinei-cnl research skills fbolh methodological and theoretical),
they all claim ,to be viable components of comp;ir;ilive politics. Further,
ihey ;ill (;in claim rightfully lo make some signili-
cant contributions to die development of thai field of enquiry. There
is often a tendency of scholars to select one mode of enquiry and defend
it as the best viable approach to enquiry, or even the only one, but at
least for this one social science a great deal is to be gained from eacli
research strategy. Were there time and money enough, the optimal strategy
would appear to be to move back ;ind forth beiwccn large-scale statistical
studies and the more descriptive analysis of individual countries, refining
concepts and theories as one goes. Unfortunately, one individual scliolar
rarely lias the skills necessary to do all those things, so that this
iterative research agenda must be shared, often in an extremely uncoordinated
and haphazard manner.
Single Country Studies
The single countrv case-study has perhaps (lie least claim to advancing
the scientific status of comparative politics, although il is also perhaps
the most common form of analysis in me discipline. The obvious weakness
of this approach is thai il is not really comparative, but ratlier is
the explication of politics 'someplace else'. As Sartori (1991: 243) has
said:
a scliolar who studies only American presidents is an Amcncanist, whereas
a scholar who studies only French presidents is a comparativist. Do not
ask me how this makes sense - it does not. The fact remains that a field
called comparative politics is densely populated by non-comparativists,
by scholars wlio have no interest, no notion, no training comparing.
Despite Sarlori's negative views, corn [in ra live politics convenlionally
has been dominated by studies of politics 'somewhere else'. There are
now any number of books labelled 'Politics in Country /V; an analysis
of the electronic card catalogue at my univcrsily library revealed 371
separate books wilh such a title, or 'The Government and Politics of Country
X\ covering over fifty dinereiit couniries, ;>nd even more monographs
and case studies of particular peritHls of time, events, and/or institutions
in a particular country. In almost every country, the politics of that
country is taught as tlie basic class in political science, with comparative
politics beins; politics occurring everywhere else - even if it only a
single country. Governments ol (lie United Stales and UK .ire rarely taught
as components of comparative analysis in their home country, even though
each is just another
example of an industrialised democracy that needs lo be understood
comparatively.
Limitations or language, educalion and funding tend to force scholarship
in the direction of the single country monograph, and, despite some almost
inherent weaknesses, this style of research docs make numerous important
contributions. In llie first place, these individual Country volumes can
be the grist for die mill for scholars more interested in direct comparison
and theory. This is especially true if a scries of books is written with
a common theoretical framework in mind, or if any one country study is
written in a self-consciously theoretical manner by itself. The series
of country study books appearing in the 1960s and 1970s under die general
editorship ol Gabriel Almond and Lncicn Rye provides a good example of
the possibility of implicit comp;irisun through a series of single country
studies. These books included Rose (1989), Ehrmann (1992), Edinger (1977),
Barghoorn and Remington (1986) and Kolhari (1970). They were later compiled
into Almond et al. [ 1973). Another example of a coherent series of books
would be that on 'policy and polities' in a variety of developed political
systems, including Ashford (1981, 1982), Hecio and Madsen (1987)^ and
Tuohy (1992).
A second possible virtue of die -single case-study is to explicate a concept
thai appears to be particularly evident in one national setting and to
use the country study to develop that concept. For example, the Netherlands
is (or at least was) an archetypical case ofconsocia-tionalism. Lijpharl's
(1975a) analysis of Dutch politics provided a great deal of general information
not only concerning that country, but also in particular about the Dutch
approach lo managing deep-scaled social cleavages. That concept lias since
been applied, intellectually if not pi-aclically, to other political systems
(sec p. 94). Further, the coiisociational concept lias been applied to
tlie Netherlands several additional times to assess the degree of political
change within that system (Mierlo, 1986; Toonen, 1996). Concept-defining
studies sucli as Lijpbart's may engender unwise conceptual stretching
in the future (sec pp. 86-93), but they also help fill the conceptual
storehouse of comparative politics.
Another useful example of the concept-defining study would be Robert Piitnain
el a/.'s work on Italy (1993) and the need for a 'social capilal' or 'social
infrastructure' in society (or successful democracy. Putnam's research
monitoi-rd iliL- development uf social capital -ilieaiiing membership
in organisations ol all sorts - across time and across different regions
ol' Italy, finding tliat diose regions without
adequate 'social capital' round it difficult to have viable democratic
instilinions. This concept has proved to be useful well outside the IxHindiiries
of that one system. Putnam has used it to identify patterns of social
and political behaviour in the United Stales that he finds potentially
damaging to democracy there (Putnam, 1993). Similar analysis of social
capital and die social basis of democracy has also been done for other
European countries (Percz-Diaz, 1994), the Unilcd Slates (Pulnam, 1995)
and for some African countries (Gyimah-Boadi, 1996). The concept of social
capital may generate some difficult empirical and llieoretica! questions
(Tarrow, 1996), but it has proven to be useful for comparative political
analysis.
Process and Institution Studies
Anollier long and honourable strand of comparative political analysis
is to select a small number of instances of a process or an institution
thai appear similar (or at least appear "comparable') in some important
ways and then use those instances to illuminate the nature of either die
process or the institution itself, or the politics of the countries within
which it occurs. In practice, these case studies are often capable of
saying a good deal about the process, as well as a great deal about the
countries. Further, time becomes an important element of the analysis,
pointing to additional possibilities of comparisons across lime as well
as across political systems.
The purpose of such studies is somewhat different from that of the whole-system
comparisons already discussed. It is not lo describe and (implicitly I
compare wliole systems, but rather to develop lower-level comparisons
of a particular institution or political process. To some extent, these
institutions and processes are assumed to lie almost independent of the
setting within which they occur. Tims, these Hfholars arc employing comparative
data to develop a theory (implicit or explicit) of aspect of political
life. For example, (lie monumental historical studies mentioned above
tend to develop theories ol fundamental social revolution (Skocpol, 1979;
Hepci, 1991), or of the development of die welfare stale (Flora and Heidenheimcr,
1981), or of tax policy (\Vebbcr ;md VVildavsky, 1987). The particular
settings within which these evcnis occur are generally less important
than the nature of the events themselves in the development oflliosc theones-
Although less grand than the historical studies of social dcvelop-ineni,
the comparative analysis of public policy formulation and implementation
would be a clear cast- of applying a process model
across a range of countries. Much public policy analysis in political
science uses a process model, beginning witli agenda-setting and ending
with evaluation and feedback iJone.s, 1984; Peters, ]994b). TIlis niodel
posits thai the same stages will have to occur in all political systems,
so thai comparison can lie made on just how the process unfolds in dilfercnl
-settings. This process model is therefore very similar to tlie functionalist
tlieorics of politics (Almond and Colcman, i960; Almond and Powell, 1966
- see Key Text 1.1). TIlis approach argued thai there were certain requisite
functions that all political systems liad to perform, and comparison therefore
was focused on how this took place. Although the heyday of functionalist
analysis was during the 1960s, much of its logic remains operative, albeit
disguised, in ronlemporary thinking about governing.
Comparative studies ofinslHulions arc somewhat dillercut, in thai they
often have a discernible functionalist bias built into them. Legislatures
must legislate, ;>nd tliereforc they will tend to perform approximately
tlie same tasks, although perhaps in markedly different ways. This presumed
commonality of activity may, however, be overstated. Polsby (1975), for
example, distinguishes 'transformalive' legislatures from 'arena' legislatures.
The former, most notably the Congress of the United Slates, actually make
independent judgments about proposed legislation, and frequently impose
significant transformations on tlie intentions of llic political executive.
Arena legislatures, on tlie other hand, are merely fora within which tlie
constitutional formalities necessary for approval of the wishes of the
executive take place - the British Parliament is a prime example (but
sec Norton, 1993). Legislative bodies of both tliese types of do legislate
in some sense of tlie term, but are they really engaged in the same activity?
The answer to dial question may depend upon whether tlie researcher is
interested in legislatures as institutions, or is more interested in the
process of policy-making,
Typology Formation
A tliird way of approaching comparative politics is to develop classification
schemes and/or typologies of countries, or perhaps of difFerent components
of llic political system. For example, Lijpharl (1968) attempted to clii-s'iil'y
democratic political systems according to the degree ot fragmentation
ol'tlieir elites and tlie fragmeniaiion of llie mass political culture.
This emss-cla.ssilication (l-'igure 1.1) yielded four categories of democratic
political systems. Lijphart later
Key Text 1.1 Gabriel Almond and BIngham Powell, and Structural Punctionalism
One of the dominant approaches to comparative politics during the 1960s
and into the 1970s was 'struclural-functionalism'. This approach was largely
borrowed form anthropology and sociology. The basic premise was that all
societies (or polities in our case) had certain core functions thai they
had to perform. Polities could then be compared on the basis of how they
performed those functions and what structures (institutions) they used
to perform them.
The principal virtue of structural-functionalism was that it could be
used to compare any political systems from the most primitive to the most
advanced. All these political systems had to perform certain functions
- things such as 'interest articulation', 'rule-adjudication' and 'political
communication' in the Almond and Powell version of the approach. The acceptance
and elaboration of this approach was in part a response to the critique
of traditional comparative politics that it was culture bound and built
entirely upon the experiences of wealthy European and North American societies.
Gabriel Aimond had sketched the structural-functional approach to politics
in his earlier book (1960) with James Coleman, but the Almond and Powell
volume elaborated the approach. It added another category of comparison
- capabilities such as extraction and regulation - that focused on the
policy-making role of government. The Almond and Powell version of structural-functionalism
also made the developmental aspects of the mode! clearer. In particular,
they argued that three basic variables - cultural secularisation, institutional
differentiation, and xxxx -could be used to measure the degree of political
development.
The critiques of this approach have been numerous. It has been argued
that Western cultural and political values were smuggled into a presumably
value-free model of political development. It was also argued that by
being so general this and similar approaches to comparison said nothing
about the way in which politics actually worked in any real country. To
the critics the analytic language merely got in the way of meaningful
comparison rather than aiding in the process. Finally, the model told
the person using it little or nothing about the way in which inputs were
converted into outputs. The institutions of government such as legislatures
and bureaucracies were merely parts of a 'black box' that would remain
largely unopened until the resurgence of institutional analysis. Still,
tor an era in which there were massive changes occurring in African and
Asian countries this general model did a great service.
FIGURE 1.1 Types of democratic systems
Political elite
Competitive Coatesceni
Hofmigeinoas Cemripetal Depotiticiscd (United Kingdom) (Sweden)
Political cult and society tureFragmented Cenlrifugal (Iialy) Consociationai
(Netherlands)
Source: Derived from LiJphart
(1968).
(1984) compared democratic systems using the rubric of consensual and
majoritarian political systems. Majoritarian systems are those of tlie
Westminster type, in which a single party is usually able to gain control
of government, and in which politics is conducted in an adversarial manner.
Consensus democracies, on the other hand, tend to have coalition governments,
in which the style is cooperative and consensual, so thai policies might
vary less than in adversarial regimes-Typologies imply the interaction
of two or more variables to produce a classification system. For example,
Lijphart's typology of democratic systems was more than a simple classification
system. It required that each political system be classified on two variables,
and that they then be placed in a group based on their scores on those
two variables. Thus, a typology is llie beginning of a theory about the
subject mailer used to classify the cases. It argues that there are at
least two variables that are crucial for understanding the phenomenon
being studied, and that it is possible to derive useful measures of those
variables for purposes of classification. Further, the typology argues
that a second, more useful, order of classification can emerge from inn-grating
the first. The degrees of homogeneity of elites and masses may be interesting
in themselves, but they become mucli more useful for explanatory and theoretical
purposes when they arc combined.
Other forms of classification (taxonomies) arc not so elaborate, but rather
may be only simple listings of ihe major types in a class. Taxonomies
assume a scheme that uses variables to classify the cases (laxsi), although
unlike ly|"ol"gics these do not involve the interaction
of the varinhles. l-'or example, Sartori (1966) argued that political
party systems in Western F-uropc fell inio one of three categories: two-party,
moderate multi-party, and extreme multi-party. Similarly, Peters (1995al
lias argued that the relationships between bureaucracies and iiiiciTsl
groups around the world can be seen as falling into four basic classifications:
legitimate, clienlela, paraiitela and illegitimate. Berg-Schlosser (1984)
provided a classification of African political systems based on a number
of political variables. He then uses this (-ht.ssification scheme (Table
I.I) to predict the economic and political performance of these systems,
finding that more democratic regimes perform rather well in comparison
with others. These various classilicaiion systems help to explain (lie
behaviour of political systems, or parts of systems, and their capacity
to perform their tasks of governing. Perhaps the extreme version ofllie
taxonoinic approach to comparison is to create a description of single
type of political system in which the scholar is interested and then to
use a simple dichotomy for analysis: a case is either 'A'' or 'non-A'1.
This method may be seen as a derivative of the methodology of 'ideal types'
advocated by Max Weber (Gerth and Mills, 1958: 59-61) and used by him
in studying religion, bureaucracy and modernisation. For example, O'Donnell
(1978) developed the concept of'bureaucratic authoritarianism' to describe
the politics of major Latin American political systems. This concept v^as
then used to analyse politics in the various countries in the region,
and the dynamics of their development by comparing their actual performance
with the conceptual model. This concept did prove useful for describing
the Latin American cases, but h;is not been able to travel well outside
that region (Bunce, 1995: 88-9).
Regional Statistical Analyses
A fourth variety of comparative analysis encountered in the literature
is the statistical study of a selected group of countries, usually the
population of countries within a particular region. Tlie purpose ol this
approach to analysis is to lest .sonic proposition about politics within
that region. Tlie goal is usually to make a generalisation only-about
that one region, and, if successful tliere to extend that analysis later
to be a proposition about politics more generally. As with the single
country study mentioned above, a particular region may be selected as
the trial locus for analysis because the traits in question arc manifested
most clearly (here,
Take, for example, the huge iiumhcr of .studies that have been undertaken
concerning [he welfare slate in Western Europe (for example, Hicks and
Swank, 1992; Esping-Anderson, 1990 - sec Key Text tO.l; 1996; Lcibfricd
and Pierson, 1995). These studies tend to examine the political and economic
roots of the welfare stale in lliese countries, as well as looking at
patterns of expansion or contraction of public expenditures across time.
Some scholars, for example, Esping-Anderson, may attempt to differentiate
groups of countries within the broader European area, although most attempt
to derive generalisations about the entire group of countries (see Castles
and Milchcll, 1993). Clearly, the welfare state came into full flower
in Western Europe and tlie nature of its politics and economics may be
seen most clearly tliere.
Could, however, tlie same sets of variables that influenced development
of social programmes in Europe also have influenced their development
in North America (Kudrle and Marmor, 1981), or in Latin America, which
in sonic wavs was also an innovator in tlie welfare state (Rosenbcrg,
1976)? Thus, valuable as these studies may be for the analysis of a single
region, their utility could be extended to creating more general theories
about subsets of (lie political world, but defined in functional as opposed
to geographical terms.
One problem that these regional studies present is that they tend to encourage
conceptual stretching (see below, pp. 86-93), once they arc extended beyond
the original area of enquiry. Tlie welfare state has a particular conceptual
meaning for Europeans, and perhaps for Canadians, but llic interpretation
of dial term may be substantially different in the United Stales. This
diflerence may not !)<o too much of a problem if we only examine aggregate
data - (or example, levels of public expenditure lor social programmes
but may become severe if
we attempt to understand
comparative survey data on attitudes towards taxing and spending (sec
tlie 'beliefs in government' studies, for example, Borre and Scarborough,
1995). Even within Europe, it is not always certain that sonic fundamental
political and social terms are interpreted tlie same way, especially between
Northern and Southern Europe (Lijpliai-E, 1990). Thus, while continents
appear homogeneous on tlie map, and university departments often organise
thfir teaching of politics in thai way, there may be sufficient variation
in political life to make comparative research difltcult and perhaps even
misleading.
Another way to say that this approacli (and the next) encounter conceptual
stretching is to say that they trade complexity for an attempt to generalise.
The first two approaclics to comparison tended to lie very ricli in complexity,
and were able to deal with the nuances of ttie political systems in winch
they were working. In tlie third approach, [lie trade-oiT began to be
evident- The creation of typologies and ideal types tends to collapse
subtle diHerenccs among countries into simple dichotomies. This is an
example of Sartori's (1990) 'degreeisrn', in which variables that are
inherently continua are collapsed into dichotomies by selecting an arbitrary
point along the dimension as a threshold value (sec below, pp. 103 5).
As we move into the regional and then global studies, the purpose of analysis
becomes statistical hypothesis-testing, and the real and important differences
among countries may be manifested only wlicn the data from particular
countries appear as 'outliers' in llic distribution of residuals of a
regression equation. If llic case is clearly deviant, then the theory
almost certainly provides no means of explaining it, and the researcher
usually must resort to some variables not included in the theory, often
something amorphous, such as "political culture'-
Giobai Statistical Studies
The final option for comparative analysis that we will discuss is the
global statistical study. This docs for tlie entire population of countries
wlial [he regional studies do for a subset. They measure political and
socio-economic variables and then apply statistical tests to tin; relationships
among those factors. Some of llic early instances of this style of research
remain classics in tlie lieltl. Perhaps llie best example was A Cr^s-f'nfify
Survey by Hanks and Texior (t9(i3}. which attempted to classify all tlie
(then) countries of (lie worki on a number of political variables, and
then created huge i-on-flatioii
matrices linking all those
variables. A similar elfort, (tie World Handbook of Podlicai and Social
Indicators (Russctt, 1964; Taylor and Hudson, 1972), developed by [he
Yalc Political Data Program, did much the same thing but used primarily
aggregate, interval-level data as opposed to the nominal data of the A
Cross-Polity Survey. Rudolph Rummel (1972; 1979) also engaged in a huge
exercise in data collection, the Dimensions of JValions Project, although
much of the emphasis was on the international behaviour (for example,
war and other acts of aggression) of the countries rather than their domestic
politics. More recently, Wallerstein fl980; Hopkins and Wallerstcin, 1980)
has taken a more radical approacli, arguing that in essence the A"
of comparative politics is one - a single world system. Despite that claim,
his work still tends to use nation-states as a unit of analysis, albeit
within the context of a dominant world system.
These statistical exercises are about as far removed intellectually from
the single country monographic study as they can be, but they still are
often described as comparative political studies. The strategy oftliese
excursions into data analysis was to accumulate as much data as possible,
and then to utilise those data to identify some generic truths about politics
across the entire range of countries, usually at a single point in time.
For example, the World Handbook did include substantial amounts of time-series
data on socio-economic variables, although somewhat less data on political
variables. These studies performed some very important functions for comparative
research in their lime. For example, they pointed out that it was possible
to apply the same ideas and measurements to the developing countries of
Africa, Asia and Latin America as could be applied to Western Europe and
North America, Pertiaps even more basically, these studies attempted to
demonstrate that it was possible to measure empirically some of the important
aspects of government that had previously been left largely 10 normative
analysis, for example, democracy (sec also Cnudde and Neubauer, 1969;
Botlen, 1980;
1990).
This style of research did make its contributions, but it also revealed
a number of serious deficiencies. One of these is the measurement problem
mentioned above in reference to regional studies (sec below, pp. 93-4).
Almost by definition/these global studies involve substantial conceptual
stretching. It is difiicult for any empirical measure of a concept such
as 'democracy' to travel welt across a range of cultures with a wide range
of political and social histories. Even aggregate dilta may IM- somewhat
suspect in these
circumstances. For example,
a measure such as gross national product may not tap adequately economic
activity in any country with a large subsistence economy and a great deal
of household production. Even in highly industrialised countries, llicre
is a great deal of household production, but if it occurs at relatively
equal levels across these countries then (lie measurement is not confounded
seriously. When comparing these countries with very poor countries, however,
there is marked measurement error. In addition, aggregate statistics can
have their own social and cultural elements thai may reduce their comparability
across countries (Desrosieres, 1996). A concept such as unemployment,
for example, appears to be directly comparable across systems, but may
contain strong national biases in measurement (Moore and Richardson, 1989).
Thus, these research eITorls may have produced a number of significant
correlations statistically, but it is not always very clear what the substantive
importance of these efforts was. Such problems of interpretation are even
more true given that they have tended to encourage relatively mindless,
atheorctical exercises in correlating all variables with all other variables,
in the knowledge thai there probably would almost certainly be some significant
correlations-Rummel's use of factor analysis tended to carry this approach
to higher levels of statistics, but not always a higher level ofsubstance-
Summary
From the above discussion, it may appear that comparative polilics is
a hopeless enterprise. Each of the approaches considered above appears
filled with Haws and insurmountable intellectual objections. On the one
liand, that apparent hopelessness is very real, but yet it is no reason
not to carry on doing comparative politics. Any approach or method we
may select for conducting our research will have some real and important
problems. However, these weaknesses do not mean tliat we should not choose
it. What they do mean is that we need to be cognizant of the strengths
and weaknesses of each candidate method and then to be wary of the results
our analysis may give us. If we are aware of llie inherent Haws of each
method, we can compensate for those problems in interpretation, if not
dirccily in the analysis.
The dilliculiies of each of these methods also points to the possibility
and desirability of 'triangulation', or ttie use of multiple methods and
approaches (Webb^rt/., 1967; Roth, 1987) for research. l-'or example,
it'a country is a deviant case on a statistical distribution,
then the obvious comparative
question is, Why arc they? A researcher may then want to engage in a more
detailed analysis ol'llic one case, and in so doing not only illuminate
llial one case, but also illuminate and expand the theory being tested
through statistical analysis. Unfortunately, relatively few researchers
bother lo extend their analysis in this direction. Most statistical researchers
simply dismiss the outliers as deviant cases, so long as tlie overall
results are statistically significant. At most, llic outliers may receive
a sentence or two- Likewise, the case-study expert on one country or a
limited number of countries may never know whether Ins or licr case is
an outlier or not, because of no! thinking in those statistical terms.
The Content of Comparisons
Up to this point, we have been looking at the various methodological approaches
to comparative analysis. We should also point out that, despite its ccntrality
in the field, cross-national analysis is not the only way in which to
perform comparative political analysis. The logic of a comparative analysis
is almost always exactly the same, regardless of what the geographical
or temporal focus of the comparison may be. Each of the dilfercrit possible
foci and loci of analysis will, however, impose some costs and provide
some benefits for tlic research exercise. The researcher must determine
what advantages, in terms of testing or developing theory, can lie gained
by using one or another of llie various sites and styles of comparison.
He or slic must also determine what are tlie costs, in terms of possible
threats to validity, tliat are associated with cacti stvic of reseairli.
Although we usually ihink primarily of cross-national comparisons - the
whole system bias described by Lijpliarl (1975b: 166) comparative analysis
across subnational units within a single nation-state is also a fruitful
form of political analysis. Indeed, if we are interested in employing
cornparalivc analysis for (lie purposes of testing political theory then
in many ways thi;' lorm of analysis lias even greater potential than lias
tlie cross-national one. The principal virtue of analysis across subnational
governments is that it holds constant, or minimises, a number of factors
that might otherwise confound it. l-'or example, V. 0. Key's classic analysis
/1949) of politics in tlie Southern states of tlie United Slates points
out how holding a number of factors constant enables tlie researcher lo
understand belter llie -subtle differences in these polhical systems,
even at a more dcscriplive level.
The comparative state policy
literature (Dye, 1966; Sharkansky, 1968; Brace, 1993) further demonstrates
how this locus of analysis enables researchers to uncover important relationships
among variables that might not be possible at the national level. Tins
style of comparative policy researcli lias been emulated in other countries
with botli federal fFricd, 1976) and non-federal systems (Alt, 1971).
It would l)e easy to assume that the cultural and social factors that
may confound comparative analysis can be eliminated in an analysis of
units witliin a single nation-stale. That is not necessarily true. For
example, the stales within the United States share many cultural and socio-economic
features, but also have distinctive political histories and cultures (liat
may influence policy choices and their internal politics (Elazar, 1987;
Kincaid, 1990). Further, even though there may be relatively limited variance
in some factors, in contrast to a comparison between tlie United States
and, for example, Upper Volta, there may still be significant variance.
That is, in a way, an opportunity, however, given that tlic greater commonality
among the slates may provide an opportunity for more precise and sensitive/
forms of measurement than would be possible in cross-national comparisons.
Cross-Time Comparisons
In addition to comparisons across geographical units, comparison can also
be made wilhin the same political unit across lime. Even more than with
the case of subnational units witliin a single country, this strategy
holds (relatively) constant the cultural and social factors that may confound
analysis of political relationships. Certainly, social and cultural patterns
within a political system may change gradually across time, but time also
can be included as one component of the analysis. This contextual change
can be controlled for statistically (Aclien and SIiively, 1995), and also
can lie controlled for in qualitative research through a thorough understanding
of the case. Most forms of comparative analysis focus on llic characteristics
describing political units and tlic relationships llial exist among variables
measured williin those units. Tlie cross-lime method, however, looks at
rc[ationsliips among variables within individual units across lime.
To [lie extent that cross-system comparisons are made with time-series
analysis, those comparison;, would be made across tlic p.itlcrns
thill are manifested within
individual countries across lime. If statistical analysis of developmental
patterns is done within countries, the outcomes of that analysis, such
as [lie degree of fit with the statistical model, or the slope of the
regression line (as a measure of efTect) could be compared. Diagnostics
might also be used to determine if there liad been significant changes
in the relationships of variables across lime. Less quantitative analysis
might examine the apparent impact of different factors - independent variables
- at different stages of the development process. This mode of analysis
can establish some less formal sense of changing relationships among variables
across time.
Analysis across time remains, for the most part, underutilised in political
science. This is often a function of inadequate time-series data for oilier
tlian a few variables, Ibr example, voting or public expenditure. While
governments have collected a great deal of economic data across time,
they have been less helpful to tlie political science researcher, and
methods such as survey research tend to have been poor at preserving time-series
on all but a few key variables. It is important to note, however, thai
less statistical time-scries analysis is making a major impact, in the
hands of the 'historical mslitutional-ists' (Thelen e( ai., 1992; Pierson,
1996) and their considerations of the enduring impact of policy and institutional
clioices.
Tliere arc several ways to combine the cross-national and llie cross-temporal
modes of analysis. In particular, the pooled time-series approach to statistical
analysis (Stimson, 1985; Alvarez, Garrett and Lange, 1991) includes data
from a number ofcountries across a signilicant period of time- This method
provides several benefits for comparative analysis, one of the most important
ofllicm being simply expanding the number of observations, thereby improving
the capacity of researchers to make reliable statistical estimations.
In addition, pooled time-series permits the analyst to lest directly whether
the principal source of variance is the country or some other factor.
It may be that relationships of variables within countries are more significant
in explaining outcomes than tlie differences across countries. The same
factors that create the benefits for comparative analysis also create
some statistical problems (see Key Text 6.1)
but tins still offers a means of expanding the reach of comparative analysis.
Finally, we come to the question of whether all comparisons involving
lime need to use exactly the same slices of chronological time. The most
appropriate comparisons for theoretical development
may be made with events
and structures occurring in different time periods, albeit periods dial
are similar in their basic characteristics. For example, the coiiieniporacy
problems of modernisation and democralisation in llic countries of Eastern
and Central Europe (Agh, 1994; Roskin, 1991; Rose, 1992} arc functionally
equivalent to the problems of Western Europe in llie late nineteenth century,
or to immediately post-colonial Africa and Asia. Tlie researcher will
have to establish tlie relevant criteria for comparability, and then attempt
to extract the theoretical and substantive meaning from the comparison.
Summary
To he effective in developing theory, and in being able to make statements
about structures larger than an individual-or the small group, the social
sciences must be comparative. We have been aware of this truism for some
lime, and a great deal of good comparative analysis has been available
in all the social sciences, but especially in political science. Much
of that comparative analysis lias however been done, using more intuition
about the logic of comparison than any self-conscious effort to compare
efTcctively and efficiently. This volume is intended to identify tlie
questions that a comparativist sliould at least think about before embarking
on data collection and analysis, whether the data to be used are quantitative
or qualitative. It also will discuss some of the techniques (in a non-technical
manner) available to the researcher and what they can, and cannot, add
to the study of comparative politics.
Although there is some agreement that comparative politics is essential
to the development of tlie discipline, there is less agreement over what
constitutes acceptable versions of this approach. Definitions of'good
research' are largely a (unction of who is being asked, and in wliat context.
The traditional view of comparative politics emphasised the description
of one or a limited number of political systems, and a place certainly
remains in the discipline for that such research. More contemporary researcli
is often more directly comparative, involving a number of countries, and
uses a variety of quantitative leflmiqiics in place of the more detailed
description common in traditional analysis. Botli of these -styles have
their place, and increasingly the discipline is attempting to reconcile
tlie research traditions and (lie research melhocl-s ofbolh. Slill, there
are adherents
of each who will argue
for exclusivity rather than a more catholic
approacti.
As we assess the quality of comparative research, we must remember tliat
'quality* is to some degree a function of the goals being pursued by [lie
researcher. One purpose of comparative analysis is to verily propositions,
and to demonstrate lhal certain relationships among variables hold true
in a wide variety of settings; the intention here is to demonstrate similarity
and consistency- On the other hand, good comparative research, and indeed
most comparative research, is concerned with differences and demonstrating
that what occurs in one setting most certainly docs not occur in another.
This latter strategy of differentiation may appear to be only an old-fashioned
description in new clothing. It can lie as 'scientific' as the strategy
of finding similarities, but merely looks for different types of propositions
and different types of variables.
While there will be a number of questions raised, the answer to most of
them is, 'It depends'. There is no perfect way to conduct comparative
analysis, only strategies that are belter or worse under given circumstances.
Furthermore, almost any choice of a research strategy involves sacrificing
some virtues in order to achieve more of otiicrs. What is perhaps most
important, therefore, is to understand fully what values arc being traded
for what others in choosing any analytic approach, The researcher can
then know where tlie analysis is likely to be weak, and where the results
have to be regarded with even greater scepticism than is truly necessary
for all social science research. Scepticism is almost always justified,
but careful consideration of the probable impacts of the tools used for
analysis helps to make the scepticism useful.
The one tiling that should be universal in studying comparative politics,
whether in one country or in many, and whether using statistical or qualitative
methods, is a conscious attention to explanation and research design.
What is the thing the researcher wants to explain - what is tlie 'dependent
variable'? When (lie problem is clear, the question then becomes, What
is the presumed 'cause' of tlie phenomenon in question? It is better for
the development of the discipline of political science if thai presumed
cause is related to some broader theoretical concerns, but there may be
interesting research in which that initial connection is tenuous at be.sl.
Filially, what evidence is needed to prove' the connection belwcen cause
and cncct, and how can lliat evidence l>c mustered? How can we be as
sure as possible alioul llie quality of our evidence.
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